Milton Keynes Local Election 2024: predictions

What a difference three years makes!

My last local election preview began: “In May 2021, Milton Keynes Conservatives achieved a victory beyond their wildest dreams in the local elections as they achieved their highest vote share since Milton Keynes became a unitary authority in 1997…This left them as the largest party on Milton Keynes Council…and feeling justifiably confident of taking control of the Council in 2022. All they needed to do was to repeat their performance of 2021“.

Things look very different in 2024 with Labour looking very well set to take control of Milton Keynes Council for the first time in 24 years – they would need to win 8 out of the 19 seats to do this – which would bring to a close 18 years of hung councils. The last time these seats were up for election was the aforementioned 2021 election (when the Conservatives won 11 seats compared to the 2 they won last year) so expect a lot of seats to change hands.

Labour find themselves in this position in large part to a stunning set of results last year – including doing the unthinkable and winning in Olney – as well as two defections from the Conservatives to Labour just after the election.

If anything, the national picture looks even worse for the Conservatives than it did in May 2023.

The local picture looks almost as bad, with the Conservatives clearly struggling to find a good line of attack on a Labour administration that has managed its finances prudently – too prudently according to the Conservatives – allowing it to have thus far avoided the financial chaos engulfing other councils while seemingly protecting local public services relative to the rest of the country (though the word “relative” is very important here – like everywhere else, the public realm in Milton Keynes is visibly crumbling and many services are inevitably getting worse due to significant cuts in funding since 2010).

An early skirmish in the local election campaign demonstrated this, with the Conservatives drawing attention to the fact that Milton Keynes is one of the only councils in the country that has maintained weekly waste collections – Conservative administrations in all our neighbouring local authorities abolished them long ago – by making claims that there are secret plans to end this the centre of their campaign. This was on the basis that an official floated it as a potential idea for increasing recycling rates in a discussion paper put to a scrutiny committee. The Conservatives then doubled down on the claim when Labour loudly disputed it by pointing to a manifesto pledge to retain weekly waste collections and the lack of any plans to do otherwise. Their campaign on council tax being too high also shows how hard the Conservatives are finding it to land punches on the administration, with campaigning promises at a recent by-election to “resist the Labour Council Tax Hike” colliding with a reality of the Conservatives feeling compelled to propose a 4.3% increase in council tax for 2024/25, saving Band D taxpayers only £10 per year compared to what has been implemented as they were unable/unwilling to propose any spending cuts (indeed, they proposed higher spending than Labour via using reserves). Campaigning against Milton Keynes Council making a plan to meet the Conservative Government’s statutory housing targets is perhaps a more effective way of winning votes but might be less effective unless they can articulate what their alternative plan would be – the last time a Conservative administration ran Milton Keynes, they failed to plan for enough deliverable housing supply to meet government targets which resulted in Milton Keynes Council losing the ability to stop housing developments in rural areas, with Hanslope particularly affected by this. One bit of good news for the “Local Conservatives” is that at least there is only one official Reform UK candidate in this election.

So – for now at least – Pete Marland squats like a giant toad across Milton Keynes politics as he comes up to his 10th anniversary as Council Leader. The next election in 2026 promises to be a very different story, with the whole council scheduled to be up for election on new boundaries and the likely backdrop of an unpopular mid-term Labour government implementing austerity measures to fix the mess the public finances are currently in…

Manifestos

• Conservatives – no manifesto published as yet
• Green Party – Policies for Milton Keynes 2024 Council Elections
• Labour – A Better Future for Milton Keynes
• Liberal Democrats – Liberal Democrat Manifesto 2024

Seat-by-seat predictions

The full candidate list is available from Milton Keynes Council here.

Map of Milton Keynes ward boundaries – 2014 onwards (from here).

Political balance of Milton Keynes Council:

• Predicted result (comparison to 2021): Labour: 10 (+5) Lib Dem: 6 (+3) Conservatives 3 (-8)
• Current political balance: Labour: 27 Lib Dem: 16 Conservatives:14
• Predicted political balance: Labour: 31 Lib Dem: 18 Conservatives: 8

Bletchley East

Safe Labour seat encompassing Water Eaton, Newton Leys, Fenny Stratford and Central Bletchley.

Labour will win this.

2023 result

• Labour – 56.5% (1,602)
• Conservatives – 25.3% (716)
• Lib Dems – 6.7% (191)
• Green – 5.5% (157)
• Reform UK – 5.4% (154)
• Turnout – 22.7% (2,834)

History

• 2014: 2 Labour, 1 UKIP
• 2015: Labour
• 2016: Labour
• 2018: Labour
• 2019: Labour
• 2021: Labour
• 2022: Labour
• 2023: Labour

Candidates

• Ron Haine (Independent)
• Ed Hume (Labour and Co-operative Party, incumbent)
• James Marlow (Local Conservatives)
• Sean McCabe (Liberal Democrats)
• Axel Segebrecht (The Green Party)

Prediction: Labour hold (100%)

Bletchley Park

Conservative/Labour marginal encompassing Queensway, Poets, Church Green, Castles, Saints, Racecourses and Far Bletchley.

Labour hold two out of the three seats and it is the Conservative-held one which is up for election in 2024. This should be very close – Labour won by 67 votes in 2023 and by 72 votes in 2022 – and perhaps it will be close enough for incumbency to come into play, especially with no Reform UK candidate this time around.

2023 result

• Labour – 41.4% (1,427)
• Conservatives – 39.4% (1,360)
• Green – 8.2% (282)
• Lib Dems – 6.6% (229)
• Reform UK – 4.1% (141)
• Turnout – 31.1% (3,448)

History

• 2014: 2 Labour 1 Tory
• 2015: Tory
• 2016: Labour
• 2018: Tory
• 2019: Tory
• 2021: Tory
• 2022: Labour
• 2023: Labour

Candidates

• Timothy Gomm (Liberal Democrat)
• Mo Imran (Local Conservatives, incumbent)
• Ayesha Khanom (Labour Party)
• Michael Sheppard (The Green Party)

Prediction: Labour gain from Conservative (60%)

Bletchley West

Labour-leaning seat encompassing Emerson Valley South, Furzton South and Bletchley Rivers, Scots, Abbeys and Counties.

The seat which is up for election is held by the Conservatives (Iain Stewart’s Parliamentary Assistant, Adam Rolfe) but this is a historical anomaly in a ward that has only elected two Conservatives out of ten councillors elected since 2014. Labour should win this year too.

2023 result

• Labour – 43.9% (1,412)
• Conservatives – 37.5% (1,206)
• Lib Dems – 6.7% (217)
• Green – 6.2% (198)
• Reform UK – 5.5% (177)
• Turnout – 31.4% (3,219)

History

• 2014: 3 Labour
• 2015: Tory
• 2016: Labour
• 2018: Labour
• 2019: Labour
• 2021: Tory
• 2022: Labour
• 2023: Labour

Candidates

• Marcello Bianco (The Green Party)
• Benjamin Edwards (Liberal Democrats)
• Hannah O’Neill (Labour Party)
• Adam Rolfe (Local Conservatives, incumbent)

Prediction: Labour gain from Conservative (80%)

Bradwell

Safe Liberal Democrat seat encompassing Bradwell, Heelands, Two Mile Ash, Hodge Lea and Stacey Bushes.

Currently represented by 3 Liberal Democrat councillors. That will not change. Last year’s Deputy Mayor Marie Bradburn is up for election, she would almost certainly become Mayor for 2024/25 if re-elected.

2023 result

• Lib Dems – 56.9% (1,652)
• Labour – 26.0% (755)
• Conservatives – 16.4% (476)
• Turnout – 30.7% (2,901)

History

• 2014: 2 Labour, 1 Liberal Democrat
• 2015: Liberal Democrat
• 2016: Liberal Democrat
• 2018: Liberal Democrat
• 2019: Liberal Democrat
• 2021: Liberal Democrat
• 2022: Liberal Democrat
• 2023: Liberal Democrat

Candidates

• Lucy Bjorck (The Green Party)
• Marie Bradburn (Liberal Democrat Focus Team, incumbent)
• Krishna Panthula (Local Conservatives)
• Mustapha Zamaan (Labour Party)

Prediction: Liberal Democrat hold (100%)

Broughton

Safe Liberal Democrat seat encompassing Willen, Willen Park, Oakgrove, Middleton, Milton Keynes Village and Broughton.

Housing development in Broughton has seen the seat become a safe Lib Dem seat since 2016, when all three councillors were Conservatives. Little chance of this changing.

2023 result

• Lib Dems – 58.7% (2,093)
• Conservatives – 22.9% (818)
• Labour – 15.7% (561)
• Heritage Party – 2.4% (87)
• Turnout – 27.1% (3,568)

History

• 2014: 2 Tory, 1 Liberal Democrat
• 2015: Tory
• 2016: Tory
• 2018: Liberal Democrat
• 2019: Liberal Democrat
• 2021: Liberal Democrat
• 2022: Liberal Democrat
• 2023: Liberal Democrat

Candidates

• George Baldock (Labour Party)
• Uroy Clarke (Liberal Democrat Focus Team, incumbent)
• James Hadfield (The Green Party)
• Alfred Saint-Clair (Heritage Party)
• Rishi Sharda (Local Conservatives)

Prediction: Liberal Democrat hold (100%)

Campbell Park and Old Woughton

Conservative/Liberal Democrat – and strangely shaped – marginal seat encompassing Pennylands, Bolbeck Park, Downhead Park, Downs Barn, Campbell Park, Springfield, Woolstone, Woughton-on-the-Green, Passmore, Woughton Park and Simpson.

The incumbent is a Conservative but it would be a big surprise if it does not change hands at this election with the Lib Dems having won the last two elections comfortably. Labour’s candidate is Matt Curtis, the brother of the Labour candidate for Milton Keynes North at the next General Election.

2023 result

• Lib Dems – 47.8% (1,695)
• Conservatives – 29.1% (1,031)
• Labour – 19.6% (695)
• Green – 5.4% (193)
• Turnout – 35.9% (3,548)

History

• 2014: 2 Liberal Democrats, 1 Tory
• 2015: Tory
• 2016: Liberal Democrat
• 2018: Tory
• 2019: Liberal Democrat
• 2021: Tory
• 2022: Liberal Democrat
• 2023: Liberal Democrat

Candidates

• Carol Barac (The Green Party)
• Matt Curtis (Labour Party)
• Graham Eaton (Liberal Democrat Focus Team)
• Charlotte Hall (Local Conservatives, incumbent)

Prediction: Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative (80%)

Central Milton Keynes

Ultra-safe Labour seat encompassing Central Milton Keynes, Bradwell Common, Conniburrow and Oldbook.

There is absolutely no chance of anyone except Labour winning here.

2023 result (including by-election)

• Labour – 52.2% (2,281)
• Conservatives – 26.3% (1,151)
• Lib Dems – 15.4% (672)
• Green – 5.8% (254)
• Turnout – 22.6% (2,346)

History

• 2014: 3 Labour
• 2015: Labour
• 2016: Labour
• 2018: Labour
• 2019: Labour
• 2021: 2 Labour
• 2022: Labour
• 2023: 2 Labour

Candidates

• Joe French (The Green Party)
• Brian Hingley (Local Conservatives)
• Russell Houchin (Liberal Democrat)
• Martin Petchey (Labour Party, incumbent)

Prediction: Labour hold (100%)

Danesborough and Walton

Formerly ultra-safe Conservative seat encompassing Woburn Sands, Bow Brickhill, Wavendon, Wavendon Gate, Old Farm Park, Browns Wood, Caldecotte, Eagle Farm and Glebe Farm that has now become politically competitive due to recent housing development in south east Milton Keynes.

Labour won this seat in 2023 and – while it should be close – would have to be narrow favourites again this year. However, the Conservatives have been campaigning heavily in the area and trying to capitalise on local disquiet about the impact of recent housing development – ironically a legacy of the 2013 local plan put together by the previous Conservative administration – with more to come over the next few years with the Milton Keynes South East extension included in Plan:MK in 2019, as well as perceived threats to the Green Belt in Bedfordshire from a future Labour government in Westminster.

2023 result

• Labour – 41.0% (1,617)
• Conservatives – 36.9% (1,452)
• Green – 10.4% (409)
• Lib Dems – 7.1% (279)
• Reform UK – 4.4% (174)
• Turnout – 33.6% (3,940)

History

• 2014: 3 Tories
• 2015: Tory
• 2016: Tory
• 2018: Tory
• 2019: Tory
• 2021: Tory
• 2022: Tory
• 2023: Labour

Candidates

• Edis Bevan (Liberal Democrat)
• Victoria Hopkins (Local Conservatives, incumbent)
• Rukhshana Malik (Labour Party)
• Peter Skelton (The Green Party)

Prediction: Labour gain from Conservatives (60%)

Loughton and Shenley

Conservative/Labour marginal encompassing Loughton, Shenley Church End, Great Holm, Medbourne, Grange Farm and Oakhill.

Labour currently hold the upper hand in the ward and it is currently represented by three Labour councillors. Loughton and Shenley saw a by-election only in February 2024 which saw a comprehensive win for Labour with 46% of the vote compared to the Conservative candidate’s 39% though one which was celebrated by local Conservatives as a great result “in a Labour stronghold ward“. While long-standing councillor, Zoe Nolan, is standing down, it would be a shock if Labour did not retain her seat.

2023 election

• Labour – 48.2% (1,652)
• Conservatives – 38.3% (1,315)
• Lib Dems – 7.7% (264)
• Green – 5.2% (178)
• Turnout – 34.6% (3,430)

History

• 2014: 2 Labour, 1 Tory
• 2015: Tory
• 2016: Labour
• 2018: Tory
• 2019: Tory
• 2021: Labour
• 2022: Labour
• 2023: Labour

Candidates

• Ray Brady (Independent, ran for Reform UK in Bletchley West last year and was the Reform UK General Election candidate for Milton Keynes Central until being removed due to allegations of racist posts on social media)
• Garrath Green (Liberal Democrat)
• Timothy Lee (The Green Party)
• Mandy Legg (Labour Party)
• Rajeev Sharma (Local Conservatives)

Prediction: Labour hold (80%)

Monkston

Safe Liberal Democrat seat encompassing Monkston, Monkston Park, Kents Hill, Walton, Walton Park and Walnut Tree.

A very comfortable win for the Lib Dems for the last six elections and it will be again this time.

2023 result

• Lib Dems – 51.3% (1,270)
• Conservatives – 22.1% (546)
• Labour – 19.0% (471)
• Green – 7.0% (174)
• Turnout – 26.9% (2,474)

History

• 2014: 3 Liberal Democrat
• 2015: Tory
• 2016: Liberal Democrat
• 2018: Liberal Democrat
• 2019: Liberal Democrat
• 2021: Liberal Democrat
• 2022: Liberal Democrat
• 2023: Liberal Democrat

Candidates

• Duncan Banks (Liberal Democrat Focus Team)
• Monica Dowling (Labour Party)
• Devin Hindry (Local Conservatives)
• Taimyr Pouaty (Independent)
• Vanessa Skelton (The Green Party)

Prediction: Liberal Democrat hold (100%)

Newport Pagnell North and Hanslope

Ultra-safe Conservative seat encompassing Hanslope, Stoke Goldington, Gayhurst, Castlethorpe, Haversham, Little Linford, Redhouse Park and Newport Pagnell north of Wolverton Road/High Street.

While the last election was a lot closer than ever before, the Conservatives still won comfortably with a split opposition, and it would be a massive shock if they did not win again especially with the backdrop of the current Land Availability Assessment exercise being undertaken by Milton Keynes Council for the New City Plan providing an opportunity for the Conservatives to mobilise support by pretending that there is a real danger of 12,000 houses being built around Haversham.

2023 results

• Conservatives – 44.3% (1,628)
• Lib Dems – 31.6% (1,162)
• Labour – 20.1% (737)
• Women’s Equality – 3.5% (128)
• Turnout – 35.9% (3,673)

History

• 2014: 3 Tory
• 2015: Tory
• 2016: Tory
• 2018: Tory
• 2019: Tory
• 2021: Tory
• 2022: Tory
• 2023: Tory

Candidates

• Jason Down (The Green Party)
• Scott Humphries (Liberal Democrat Focus Team)
• Chris Wardle (Local Conservatives, incumbent)
• Carol Wood (Labour Party)

Prediction: Conservative hold (100%)

Newport Pagnell South

Historically a safe Liberal Democrat seat encompassing Newport Pagnell south of Wolverton Road, Blakelands and Giffard Park. The Conservatives won in 2021 – capitalising on local issues relating to planning and housing development – but things seem to have returned to form more recently.

A by-election for this seat was held in September 2023 following the Conservative councillor having to step down due to being convicted of driving offences which resulted in a local business having to be closed down. This was comfortably won by the Lib Dems with 44% of the vote compared to 22% for the Conservative candidate who was beaten into third place. However, Newport Pagnell is a key battleground for the General Election: the local Conservatives have been campaigning hard about their opposition to Milton Keynes East as well as Milton Keynes Council’s decision to install “infrastructure before expansion” for the development via closing the road from Newport Pagnell to J14 of the M1 for 12 months and – with further housing development highly likely to be allocated south of Newport Pagnell in the New City Plan – this is likely to prove fertile ground for them. Probably not in this election though.

2023 result

• Lib Dems – 45.9% (1,475)
• Conservatives – 34.1% (1,090)
• Labour – 15.9% (510)
• Reform UK – 3.7% (120)
• Turnout – 36.5% (3,216)

History

• 2014: 3 Liberal Democrats
• 2015: Liberal Democrat
• 2016: Liberal Democrat
• 2018: Liberal Democrat
• 2019: Liberal Democrat
• 2021: Tory
• 2022: Liberal Democrat
• 2023: Liberal Democrat

Candidates

• Conner Hughes (The Green Party)
• Tony Oyakhire (Liberal Democrat Focus Team, incumbent)
• Jamie Rossiter (Local Conservatives)
• Saskia Soden (Labour Party)

Prediction: Liberal Democrat hold (80%)

Olney

Ultra-safe Tory seat encompassing the villages of rural northeast Bucks including Olney, Lavendon, Tyringham, Filgrave, Weston Underwood, Ravenstone, Lathbury, Sherington, Emberton, Cold Brayfield, Newton Blossomville, North Crawley, Chicheley and Moulsoe.

Can anyone really see Labour winning Olney? Ok, they won it last year but that was thanks in large part to an excellent local candidate who was well-known as a community champion through her role on the town council. It is very hard to see the circumstances which allowed Labour to win in Olney happening again – the Conservative candidate is a very long-standing councillor who, from what I have seen of him, is an asset to the council in terms of his approach to scrutiny work, and the early stages of Milton Keynes Council’s work on the New City Plan should also be worth quite a few votes to the Conservatives. Never say never though – the Conservatives did actually increase their vote share in 2023 (their opposition was heavily split in 2022) so perhaps there was more to their loss last year than the one-off of having to fight a formidable local candidate with a split vote due to the Reform UK candidate…

2023 result

• Labour – 44.8% (1,903)
• Conservatives – 43.7% (1,857)
• Green – 5.6% (236)
• Lib Dems – 3.1% (131)
• Reform UK – 2.8% (117)
• Turnout – 43.5% (4,252)

History

• 2014: 3 Tory
• 2015: Tory
• 2016: Tory
• 2018: Tory
• 2019: Tory
• 2021: Tory
• 2022: Tory
• 2023: Labour

Candidates

• Rebecca Cave (Liberal Democrat)
• Keith McLean (Local Conservatives, incumbent)
• Catherine Rose (The Green Party)
• Dan Rowland (Labour Party)

Prediction: Conservative hold (90%)

Shenley Brook End

Conservative/Lib Dem marginal encompassing Shenley Brook End, Shenley Lodge, Furzton North and Emerson Valley North.

Last year’s result was incredibly tight – the Lib Dems won by only 4 votes as the Conservatives bucked the trend and increased their vote and the Lib Dems seemingly lost lots of vote to a Green candidate who did not stand the previous year. The losing Conservative candidate last year – former Conservative Leader Saleena Raja – has defected and is standing for the Lib Dems this year. The incumbent Conservative councillor is stepping down which may, or may not, be a good indication of their level of confidence.

2023 results

• Lib Dem – 38.6% (1,184)
• Conservatives – 38.5% (1,180)
• Labour – 17.2% (529)
• Green – 5.3% (164)
• Turnout – 32.4% (3,068)

History

• 2014: 3 Liberal Democrats
• 2015: Tory
• 2016: Liberal Democrat
• 2018: Liberal Democrat
• 2019: Tory
• 2021: Tory
• 2022: Liberal Democrat
• 2023: Liberal Democrat

Candidates

• Ketan Kadakia (Local Conservatives)
• Mike Kasibo (Labour Party)
• Saleena Raja (Liberal Democrat Focus Team)
• Dominic Taylor (The Green Party)

Prediction: Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative (55%)

Stantonbury

Conservative/Labour marginal encompassing Great Linford, Neath Hill, Bradville, Bancroft, Stantonbury and Oakridge Park.

The Conservative incumbent is standing down at this election and anything other than a Labour win to give them all three councillors in the ward would be a huge surprise even with 2022/23 Mayor Amanda Marlow standing for the Conservatives.

2023 results

• Labour – 50.3% (1,756)
• Conservatives – 32.0% (1,117)
• Green – 8.9% (312)
• Lib Dems – 8.1% (283)

History

• 2014: 3 Labour
• 2015: Tory
• 2016: Labour
• 2018: Labour
• 2019: Tory
• 2021: Tory
• 2022: Labour
• 2023: Labour

Candidates

• Victoria Bamisile (Labour Party)
• Greg Duffield (Liberal Democrat)
• Gary Lloyd (The Green Party)
• Amanda Marlow (Local Conservatives)
• Sean Porter (Reform UK)

Prediction: Labour gain from Conservatives (90%)

Stony Stratford

Conservative/Labour marginal encompassing Stony Stratford, Crownhill, Fairfields, Whitehouse and Calverton.

Labour has won the last two elections comfortably and the incumbent councillor elected for the Conservatives – who is standing this time around – defected to the Labour Party last year. It will be interesting to see if that has any impact on the result either through disgruntled Conservatives motivated to turn out to vote or disgruntled Labour supporters unwilling to support him. Labour are still the massive favourite given the size of their victories in 2022 and 2023 but this could be one to watch.

2023 results

• Labour – 46.0% (1,872)
• Conservatives – 36.6% (1,490)
• Lib Dems – 10.0% (406)
• Green – 6.9% (281)
• Turnout – 36.6% (4,069)

History

• 2014: 2 Labour, 1 Tory
• 2015: Tory
• 2016: Labour
• 2018: Labour
• 2019: Labour
• 2021: Tory
• 2022: Labour
• 2023: Labour

Candidates

• Denise Brunning (Local Conservatives)
• Richard Greenwood (Liberal Democrat)
• Joe Hearnshaw (Labour Party, incumbent)
• Joan Hughes (The Green Party)

Prediction: Labour hold (70%)

Tattenhoe

Safe Tory seat encompassing Tattenhoe, Westcroft, Kingsmead and Oxley Park.

The Conservatives – perhaps surprisingly given their performance elsewhere – won in Tattenhoe in 2023 though their victorious candidate controversially decided to defect to the Labour Party only weeks afterwards. I would not be surprised to see Conservative voters particularly motivated to turn out to vote in this election to punish this – without that complicating factor I would have given Labour a good chance here given the housing development issues in this area are being caused by Conservative-run Buckinghamshire Council building an urban extension to Milton Keynes, having resisted Milton Keynes Council’s attempted “trespass” thanks to the vocal support of Milton Keynes Conservatives for their right to dump houses without adequate infrastructure on our borders.

2023 results

• Conservatives – 45.5% (1,329)
• Labour – 40.5% (1,183)
• Green – 7.0% (204)
• Lib Dems – 4.7% (137)
• Reform UK – 2.0% (58)
• Turnout – 33.2% (2,923)

History

• 2014: 3 Tory
• 2015: Tory
• 2016: Tory
• 2018: Labour
• 2019: Tory
• 2021: Tory
• 2022: Tory
• 2023: Tory

Candidates

• Christian Durugo (Labour Party)
• Dominic Dyer (Liberal Democrat)
• Manish Verma (Local Conservatives, incumbent)
• Geoffrey Waggott (The Green Party)

Prediction: Conservative hold (60%)

Wolverton

Ultra-safe Labour seat encompassing Wolverton, Wolverton Mill, Greenleys, New Bradwell, Blue Bridge and Bancroft Park.

Labour will win even with a former leader of Milton Keynes Conservatives (Edith Bald) standing against them.

2023 results

• Labour – 61.9% (1,959)
• Conservatives – 19.3% (610)
• Green – 11.7% (370)
• Lib Dems – 6.6% (209)
• Turnout – 29.3% (3,167)

History

• 2014: 3 Labour
• 2015: Labour
• 2016: Labour
• 2018: Labour
• 2019: Labour
• 2021: Labour
• 2022: Labour
• 2023: Labour

Candidates

• Edith Bald (Local Conservatives)
• Rachel Chanalaris (Liberal Democrat)
• Alan Francis (The Green Party)
• Ansar Hussein (Labour Party, incumbent)

Prediction: Labour hold (100%)

Woughton and Fishermead

Ultra-safe Labour seat encompassing Beanhill, Netherfield, Tinkers Bridge, Eaglestone, Coffee Hall, Leadenhall, Peartree Bridge and Fishermead.

Labour will win.

2023 results

• Labour – 65.0% (1,382)
• Conservatives – 17.9% (381)
• Lib Dems – 8.7% (186)
• Green – 7.9% (167)
• Turnout – 18.5% (2,126)

History

• 2014: 3 Labour
• 2015: Labour
• 2016: Labour
• 2018: Labour
• 2019: Labour
• 2021: 2 Labour
• 2022: Labour
• 2023: Labour

Candidates

• David Caraivan (Local Conservatives)
• Tony Coughlan (The Green Party)
• Donna Fuller (Labour Party, incumbent)
• Caroline Picking (Liberal Democrat)

Prediction: Labour hold (100%)